The Next US President is....

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When the coming shitstorm is finally over--and I mean the lawsuits, litigation, recounts and accusations--I won't be surprised by either outcome. All conventional data from trusted sources (RNC internal polling hovering around 10 points now) is showing a pretty decisive loss for Trump. However, in 2016, all conventional data from those same trusted sources were showing a decisive victory for Clinton, and by very similar margins. I offer these points to consider as we head toward the final showdown.

1) Trump proved that polling can't be trusted.

2) Trump has created the most divisive political climate in modern American history and continues to behave like an egomaniacal, petulant child. The single biggest issue on voters' minds now is COVID, and Trump is gleefully trying to write it off as nothing but fear-mongering that's about to magically disappear at any moment. That leads to the common narrative: How could anyone in his/her right fucking mind vote for this asshole??

3) Trump also created, prior to the virus, the most prosperous economy and economic figures since the Great Depression. His tax cuts significantly improved take-home pay for the middle class. There's no way to try to spin it otherwise, middle class families are taking home more money. I know for sure I certainly am. And educated Americans tend to vote with their wallets. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are promising to erase those gains, cancel those tax cuts and won't even admit to their plan to pack SCOTUS full of radicals. Joe Biden is also clearly mentally declining, and people can't stand Harris. That could lead to the same voters who voted for Trump in 2016, who may be absolutely sick and tired of his antics, also coming to the conclusion that they at least know what he'll likely do. Hysterical liberals promised he'd lead us into WWIII, crash the stock market and destroy healthcare...and none of that happened. He's an unpleasant but relatively safe bet. They're ashamed to admit this to friends and certainly won't reveal this to anonymous pollsters who call their homes at 6pm. But if at least 97% of people who voted for Trump in 2016 do so again, depending on the state breakdown, he could, in theory, win with just as resounding an electoral college knockout in November.

4) National polls now have Biden ahead by an average of 12%, widening since last week. However, take a look at individual swing-stage polls like Ohio, Michigan and most importantly, Florida. Some of them have Trump declining, some of them gaining, and the numbers just don't add up to national polling and what the RNC polls are showing. Again, polls can't be trusted.

I give you this, as an example of something to think about.

BET founder won't endorse Trump but says 'I will take the devil I know'

Says, “Where I come out as a businessman, I will take the devil I know over the devil I don’t know any time of the week."

"I know what President Trump has done and what he’s said he will do. I don’t know what Vice President Biden has said he will do other than masks, listen to the scientists."

Again, just something to think about. People I trust and respect as some of our nation's top political operatives are guaranteeing that Trump will be defeated, and I generally defer to their wisdom as they're far more intelligent and resourceful than I am. But at the end of the day I'm a shameless opportunist and street operator, and that means I always hedge my bets. I try to make sure I win no matter what happens.

It would be a grave mistake to count Trump out just yet. I'm not laying any money on this one.
 
Seen on Twitter: dictionary shade is the best shade.

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Er.... do the secret service actually ever refer to themselves by that abbreviation?

No, just lazy persons like myself. The official abbreviation used is U.S.S.S., and most of the retired SS agents I know refer to it as "the service," or refrain from referencing it altogether. I guess it's called the SECRET service for a reason.

But with 1811s (special agents) in general, you'll notice that they try not to talk about their job titles. It's drummed into them from even before the academy. Even if you're friendly with a guy who's an agent, if you ask him what he does for a living he'll probably just say, "I work for the federal government," or maybe might say, "I'm at the Justice Department." Any douchebag who's proudly boasting that he's A SPECIAL AGENT probably isn't. If he proclaims that he WORKS FOR THE FBI, he's probably a desk clerk or janitor. It's just like Navy SEALs. You put yourself at risk by telling people what you do for a living.
 
Have a look at the two minute clip from yesterday and then explain why you think Biden will be an effective President. Put away the reasons you don’t like Trump, just try to sell Biden as President.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bi...appears-to-not-remember-mitt-romneys-name.amp

see, the point is probably that a 2mn clip should not make much difference.
You make it sound like it’s an absolute. The guy should be perfect. But it’s a relative choice : him or the other guy. Each one has to convince the electorate that he’s just better than the other. Not that he’s Superman
 
see, the point is probably that a 2mn clip should not make much difference.
You make it sound like it’s an absolute. The guy should be perfect. But it’s a relative choice : him or the other guy. Each one has to convince the electorate that he’s just better than the other. Not that he’s Superman

The point is that the video was a typical Biden performance. And he is likely to decline in the next 4 years as he approaches 80 years of age.

It is 95 percent certain that Biden will be the President. Trump will be irrelevant when he’s not the President any more. The reality is that Biden is America’s future.
 
The point is that the video was a typical Biden performance. And he is likely to decline in the next 4 years as he approaches 80 years of age.

It is 95 percent certain that Biden will be the President. Trump will be irrelevant when he’s not the President any more. The reality is that Biden is America’s future.

I don’t think (thank God!) that a politician, even the President, defines completely the whole future of a country. He may have some degree of influence over the next 4 or 8 years , and much less if Congress is not on his side
 
Biden held his own in the debate and that's good enough for at this point in time. I voted already so......
 
It is 95 percent certain that Biden will be the President.
For a month or two until he steps down, and then the US will have its first female president, President Harris.

Which will make Hillary Clinton's head explode.

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For a month or two until he steps down, and then the US will have its first female president, President Harris.

Which will make Hillary Clinton's head explode.

giphy.gif

you’re entering the predictions game too?
Be careful this thread has seen dozens of predictions invalidated already ...
ok I risk one as well: it will be an uneventful, slightly boring presidency where knowledgeable specialists and adults in the room will finally have a say in the decision-making process and frankly thats what the free world needs now
 
you’re entering the predictions game too?
No, I just wanted people to imagine HIllary's head exploding. :D

(Video clip is NSFW, at all.)

 
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Have a look at the two minute clip from yesterday and then explain why you think Biden will be an effective President. Put away the reasons you don’t like Trump, just try to sell Biden as President.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bi...appears-to-not-remember-mitt-romneys-name.amp

Yeah, he was in especially bad shape today, like when he couldn't remember Mitt Romney's name or job title. You can tell when he starts getting frustrated at not being able to remember things, as he starts to shout whatever is written for him on the teleprompter.
 
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Yeah, he was in especially bad shape today, like when he couldn't remember Mitt Romney's name or job title. You can tell when he starts getting frustrated at not being able to remember things, as he starts to shout whatever is written for him on the teleprompter.
Nowhere near as exciting as Trump on Twitter............jesus.........what a piece of work. Hitler & Himmler rolled into one
 
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it will be an uneventful, slightly boring presidency where knowledgeable specialists and adults in the room will finally have a say in the decision-making process and frankly thats what the free world needs now

No chances for uneventful and boring these times, but I strongly want knowledgeable and capable people to have their say and possibly restore US / global agenda to more important topics (global warming anyone? )
 
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