Gotta give you your dues... You called this 18 months ago.
Thought Biden was doing OK with the vaccine roll out and you'd be eating those words but it seems to be week after week of incompetency.
All I can see is a GOP sweep in 2022 leading to a 2 year lame duck period.
Much as I'd like to see Trump convicted of some the shit he has pulled, and not be able to run in 24, I think any conviction would lead to a 2nd civil war that makes Jan 6 look like 5 year olds birthday party.
Personally I put my hopes in Trump aging into a state a dementia and that a center right candidate comes forward (love to see Larry Hogan run)
Oh and yeah... You do need to get a life!
Well, if I'm being honest, Joe Biden has completely surpassed even my wildest expectations in terms of how bad he's fucked up. And Kamala has basically disappeared and I don't think I've even seen her on television in over a month--I suspect, however, it may be on the advice of campaign staffers who are looking at approval numbers and believe people look at her more favorably if they don't have to look at her.
My guess is the GOP takes back the House by a pretty sizeable (safe) margin, and very likely tips the Senate by one or two seats. That's basically why you see Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer tossing all these Hail Mary-type garbage plays in Congress now, because they know they're getting the boot in a year.
The problem is Trump. Unlike what establishment old-guard GOP hacks predicted (and that includes myself), the party has NOT properly distanced itself from him. No, instead, they're still paying lip service to the MAGA mob to the extent that his standing in the party seems to be almost rehabilitated. On top of all that, thanks to Joe Biden's disaster of an administration, virtually every public poll being taken clearly shows that if a presidential election were held today, Trump would handily beat Biden or Harris. And that's much more than The Donald needed to convince himself to run again, which it appears he's absolutely gearing up to do.
My colleagues at the RNC assured me Nikki Haley was going to be our horse in 2024 and that Dump Trump was the affirmative order being given out...but it appears Trump has been able to scare her off and she's gone on record saying she wouldn't consider a POTUS run if Trump announced. The other so-called "rising star" is Top Douchebag FL Gov Ron Desantis, who's kinda like Ted Cruz in that just looking at his face makes you want to punch him, only he's far dumber than Ted Cruz...but evidently Trump got to Desantis, who is now saying he won't run if Trump runs (plus Trump went on record saying he would easily beat Desantis in 2024).
But the writing is on the wall. Joe Biden will not be getting a second term, if he even finishes his first. Kamala Harris will never, ever be elected POTUS--she may be sworn into the seat for a few months if her boss keels over, but she will never be placed there by the electoral college. The GOP is going to sweep the 2022 congressional elections, recapture control of likely both Houses and then two years later snatch defeat from the jaws of victory by allowing Trump to poison the party once again. It's very sad.
I like Larry Hogan, or any thoughtful, reasonable Republican...but in today's politics those guys are the easiest to intimidate and discredit (think Jeb Bush). But that's what the GOP needs right now if it's going to return to power the right way, take back the White House and have a productive eight year rule. I holding out hope that a guy like Tom Cotton will be able to galvanize party support and fend off the fucking MAGA crazies, but it's hard to get that genie to go back into its shit-kicking bottle.
In any event, I decided a while back that I will cease all association with Republican politics for the time being. The party's overwhelming embrace of anti-vax, anti-mask idiocy was the last straw. No, my goal for 2022 is, indeed, to get a life. Assuming this pandemic is finally put to bed and it's safe to come out of hiding again, there are things so much more enjoyable than politics to focus on. Like getting my anus scrubbed at Spa World, blowing money on watches in Nakano and getting naked in the snow in Sapporo.