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Daily WHO Reports for the Coronavirus Outbreak (Link)

Even in the football the team that scores more goals wins, not the team that controls the ball more or has better haircuts. Though watching the players I understand why someone would be confused about the latter point.
Yeah, in this case however it feels like the one who scores more goals can still lose . As for haircuts I would say Donald’s was better than Hillary’s though, I grant him that
 
Well he wasn't the loser according to the system that they follow, so...

true. we also had a system long ago when the winner was the first born with a dick , out of a royal vagina . then people found out it’s not such a great system. Stupid people, why can’t they keep the same old system all the time? :D
 
Fair, but I also like to remind myself of this quote:
20200902_204322.jpg


It's a terrible book, though.
 
Fair, but I also like to remind myself of this quote:
View attachment 14976

It's a terrible book, though.

not sure whether you were replying to my previous post but just in case: it has nothing to do with a liberals/conservatives thing. I would still think their system is weird and unfair if a Dem won the presidency with a minority of the citizens votes.
Also for the record , in my little country (where each vote has the same value as the other) I always voted for conservative candidates and can’t stand socialists
 
I apologize for assuming!

In any case I'm not sure about the historical reasons behind the American version of representative government. But it's the system that they've got. A bunch of different people on different sides have won varying degrees of power in it.

Would be academically interesting if that system has been changed recently to produce such a (subjectively) inequitable result, otherwise it just seems like Americans getting what they wanted in the framework that they asked for. But I don't know about that either way and tbh as a non-citizen I can't be arsed haha
 
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But it's the system that they've got.

If they didn't have that system then the more populous states would have all the power and the smaller states wouldn't have joined the fun at all to begin with.

Meanwhile in Europe France and Germany handled the thing much better, they just lured the smaller countries in by "come here, we have cookies" and now they get to outvote any decision by themselves.
 
If they didn't have that system then the more populous states would have all the power and the smaller states wouldn't have joined the fun at all to begin with.

Meanwhile in Europe France and Germany handled the thing much better, they just lured the smaller countries in by "come here, we have cookies" and now they get to outvote any decision by themselves.

well, anyone is free to leave my dear Luxemburgish friend :D
Also the argument « we are small so we need more relative power » seems suspiciously... socialist to me! :)
 
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well, anyone is free to leave my dear Luxemburgish friend :D
Also the argument « we are small so we need more relative power » seems suspiciously... socialist to me! :)

Except nobody else than UK has the funds to leave that elitist club. :D Basically their rules are similar to motorcycle clubs; they will cut your skin to the bone to remove club tattoos and you need to pay for imaginary damages.

The main point being nobody in US thinks the system needs to be changed; only after the elections the losing side thinks it is unfair. Well, many things really are unfair: like tennis where you can win more sets and still lose the game and the fact that Minami Aizawa doesn't volunteer to have sex with me every day. But little we can do to change those obvious wrongs in this world of us and must just soldier on as best as we can.
 
Except nobody else than UK has the funds to leave that elitist club. :D Basically their rules are similar to motorcycle clubs; they will cut your skin to the bone to remove club tattoos and you need to pay for imaginary damages.

The main point being nobody in US thinks the system needs to be changed; only after the elections the losing side thinks it is unfair. Well, many things really are unfair: like tennis where you can win more sets and still lose the game and the fact that Minami Aizawa doesn't volunteer to have sex with me every day. But little we can do to change those obvious wrongs in this world of us and must just soldier on as best as we can.

i would argue with you on most of your points (except the Minami Aizawa thing).. but not worth it indeed . There is someone in my bed I want to wake up for a second round now . More urgent and essential :)
 
i would argue with you on most of your points (except the Minami Aizawa thing).. but not worth it indeed . There is someone in my bed I want to wake up for a second round now . More urgent and essential :)

Go my fliend and have a plesidential election by youlself! :p
 
I honestly think that's a possibility. I'm personally laying out plans for an early March trip to Tokyo and crossing my fingers. But also keep in mind that even if Americans get vaccinated, there's no guarantee Japan will allow them in just yet--particularly with so many southwest states undergoing huge surges, and the potential for re-surges anywhere in the country once people come out of lock-down (look at Spain). As I mentioned earlier I'm currently located in a region that the Japanese government is considering granting a reciprocal travel exemption to as we have comparatively very low rates of COVID (although we are going through a surge) so my timeline may be different from yours.

I'm also basing all of this on speculation I'm getting from political connections in D.C. I obviously know nothing about the science or medicine behind the larger picture, but in the era of Trump, politics is playing an increasingly larger role in how our government operates so take it for what you will.

With that said, take everything we currently know about how Trump's administration and his underlings are operating. Trump wants this vaccine, or at least an approval for a vaccine, before the November election. That's not up for debate. I think it's fair to say that Trump would be willing to do virtually anything to make that happen. Also, in the midst of this pandemic and with many states switching to all-mail ballots, the majority of Americans will be voting through mail or absentee/early voting, which in most states will begin around mid-October. Trump needs an approval by that time, at latest by end of October of the effect on voters will be negligible. That's not to say Trump can't win outright even without a vaccine, with Joe Biden's mental faculties quickly and obviously declining, but that's an entirely different issue.

Several weeks ago I was hearing that Trump's people had identified the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine as the one they'd pick for emergency approval. Now, I'm hearing it may be Novavax, which is supposedly showing even better results and is easier to transport and distribute but further behind in testing. To that end, FDA's Steve Hahn has suddenly changed his tune and is now saying he's willing to issue emergency approval without Phase-III testing. We know the government is now prepping for distribution.

So let's say, best case scenario, Trump gets his vaccine approved in early October, or in about five weeks. And let's also assume that the news reports are true, and we're currently sitting on potentially a half-million doses of the vaccine awaiting approval. By every account, those first available doses will to go front-line workers and healthcare staff, as it should. Most agree that such a small amount won't have a noticeable impact. It will, however, have a political impact as Trump can now start bragging that his vaccine has arrived and he's saving the country.

Then let's say most of his posturing is true, and he can very quickly secure "a hundred million doses" by the end of the year. What does that mean? By Thanksgiving? Christmas? And even if he does, most of that amount will almost certainly still be allocated for healthcare workers, front-line and first-responders and then probably elderly or high-risk if there's anything left. I would venture a guess, just looking at the initial estimates, that very few of us will have access to a shot in 2020.

And let's also not forget that virtually every vaccine in development requires two doses (at least). So whatever number we get, say 500k, is really only 250k people vaccinated. Also keep in mind that there are three competing vaccines in Phase-III trials now, so even if they don't get an EUA they may very likely get approval around the new year. How many of those doses can Trump get his hands on? A hundred million of each? So then it comes down to how quickly these corporations can manufacture and deliver vaccinations. And here's where my insight ends, because I know jack shit about how that works. But for the sake of argument, let's say most of the speculation pans out and the Average Joe will finally be able to get vaccinated in early 2021. Let's say you actually get vaccinated on January 1st. Follow-up shot is 3-4 weeks later. Supposedly takes another month after that to build up max antibody protection. So IN THEORY, you might be fully vaccinated by early March. And then all of this rests on the massive assumption that the vaccine ACTUALLY WORKS. How long after that does it take to bring down global numbers to the point where countries feel safe to open up? It ain't going to happen in a month. Maybe results start showing up in two months? Three?

And then assuming all of the developed world has access to vaccinations in early 2021, the other big variable comes into play: Will everyone willingly get vaccinated? Reports and polls are showing that roughly 40% of Americans say they'll refuse to take a COVID vaccine. I would say a quarter of my own friends and colleagues have expressed similar sentiments, and they're serious about it. They think it's a government conspiracy (and yes, they're all republicans). So how quickly do numbers come down when almost half the fucking country is playing tinfoil hat conspiracy theorist and refusing to get a shot. Scientists have suggested that we may only need at least 40% of the population to have immunity in order to reach actual herd immunity, but it sure isn't going to help when half the people around you are potential carriers.

But again, who knows? Not me, for sure. I'm not the brightest guy around, which is why I ended up operating in politics rather than a laboratory. I can make an (un)educated guess about how the politics will affect things but you should really ask your doctor friends or relatives for their opinion of what happens after Trump gets his approval and the first vaccine arrives.
Seems like airlines were listening to you... all the good prices just doubled overnight starting in March... shit!
 
Seems like airlines were listening to you... all the good prices just doubled overnight starting in March... shit!

That sucks...I should probably check as my flights were all in the $600 RT range flying in late Feb to early March. But keep an eye out and monitor prices on Google Flights because, especially in these uncertain times, things could change quite drastically. One of the main carriers here for flights to Japan has announcing thousands of lay-offs and furloughs and they're dying for customers. I keep hoping for some "welcome back" flight specials if/when Japan reopens.
 
In another very telling development, Trump's sometimes-nemesis Dr. Anthony Fauci has just announced that there is a legitimate path for approving a vaccine before Phase-III trials have finished. I don't think you can understate how huge this is, as Fauci was formerly the leading (and often only) voice speaking out against Trump's posturing that we'd have a vaccine long before the new year.

Speaking to reporters yesterday, Fauci stated that if a vaccine is showing overwhelmingly positive results (which all four leading vaccines are), then we have a "moral obligation" to end the trials early and approve the vaccine for distribution. That's a far cry from his position just a month ago. Also keep in mind that two of the leading vaccines--one from Pfizer and the other from Moderna, which is collaborating with Fauci's NIH--have been undergoing Phase-III testing since late-July and are scheduled to post preliminary results this month. Oxford/AstraZeneca has expanded Phase-III to America and Novavax is now undergoing Phase-II trials.

It's becoming clearer every day and I don't think you can dismiss this as just political gossip any longer. Trump is getting a vaccine approved before the election, and probably even sooner than that.
 
That sucks...I should probably check as my flights were all in the $600 RT range flying in late Feb to early March. But keep an eye out and monitor prices on Google Flights because, especially in these uncertain times, things could change quite drastically. One of the main carriers here for flights to Japan has announcing thousands of lay-offs and furloughs and they're dying for customers. I keep hoping for some "welcome back" flight specials if/when Japan reopens.
I'm on the east coast and typically go though Air Canada which has the best rates and lands in HND. Checking more closely, the rates went up from the high $400 to the $600 range you mentioned so that still is ok for me..
 
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And the news keeps coming this morning. This just broke in the last hour and it's spreading quickly:

CDC Tells States to Prepare for Vaccine by Early November

The CDC has notified public health officials in all 50 states and five large cities to prepare to distribute a coronavirus vaccine to health care workers and other high-risk groups “as soon as late October or early November,” the New York Times reports.

...the C.D.C. has outlined technical scenarios to state public health officials for an unidentified “Vaccine A” and “Vaccine B.”


The story is also being reported by the WSJ and other national news outlets. This also signals an urgent pending medical crisis in November, as millions of Trump-haters in America and beyond will find themselves making frantic, tearful emergency calls for a WAAAAAH-mbulance on or shortly after 11/3.
 
Some outlets are also reporting that the unidentified "Vaccine A" matches the profile of the Pfizer vaccine, which officials expect to have roughly 2-million doses of by the end of October, while "Vaccine B" matches the profile of the Moderna vaccine, which experts predict having roughly 1-million doses of ready at that same time. Healthcare worker and high-risk elderly individuals over the age of 65 are being told to prepare to receive vaccinations 3 weeks apart, possibly beginning in the last week of October. No word on predictions for the other leading vaccines. The DJI is up 450 points to 29,100, coming very close to the record historical high reached just before the pandemic. It's going to be an interesting day in the news.
 
I don't trust any of it.
 
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In today's later news, CNN is reporting that the Novavax vaccine has proven safe in the early stage trials, with Phase-I participants generating 4 to 6 times the level of neutralizing antibodies of actual COVID recovered patients. And that's no small thing for CNN, of all outlets, to be forced to admit this. Granted, it appears most of the participants were under 60 so they really will need to show proof of efficacy in older groups in Phase-II but this is still very, very good news. Let's hope the good news continues. I keep reading that Wall Street types are betting on Novavax over the other three leading vaccines so there's probably something to it.
 
In today's later news, CNN is reporting that the Novavax vaccine has proven safe in the early stage trials, with Phase-I participants generating 4 to 6 times the level of neutralizing antibodies of actual COVID recovered patients. And that's no small thing for CNN, of all outlets, to be forced to admit this. Granted, it appears most of the participants were under 60 so they really will need to show proof of efficacy in older groups in Phase-II but this is still very, very good news. Let's hope the good news continues. I keep reading that Wall Street types are betting on Novavax over the other three leading vaccines so there's probably something to it.

So my choices are either last week of February where flights are in the low $500 range or Early May with flights a bit higher around $525. Reason I mention this is if travel isnt allowed by then, I will most likely have to eat the flight cost. Hotels i can get free cancellation up to a few days before.
I would prefer the earlier date but it might be cutting it close. March and April flights are much higher....
 
So my choices are either last week of February where flights are in the low $500 range or Early May with flights a bit higher around $525. Reason I mention this is if travel isnt allowed by then, I will most likely have to eat the flight cost. Hotels i can get free cancellation up to a few days before.
I would prefer the earlier date but it might be cutting it close. March and April flights are much higher....

I'm facing the same dilemma as I'm supposed to visit at the end of February but at this point it's really not looking too promising and I'm holding off on purchasing tickets unless I know I can get a refund or free date change. If I were you, and you absolutely have to book now, I'd go with a May flight.

I was speaking with an MD friend of mine today who's also based on our city's largest hospital--which is handling the bulk of our COVID hospitalizations--and his opinion on the vaccine was pretty much what I'd expected: that he's worried about political pressure speeding up the approval, and that even if we do get an approval and limited distribution of a vaccine before the end of the year, the vast majority of us probably won't have access to one until late Q1 2021 at the earliest. Most importantly, that I should forget about my February trip.

Honestly, May isn't too bad of an option. Not sure how much time you've spent in Japan but if you're a fan of warmer, temperate weather (which I'm not as I like to freeze my ass off), May is that sweet spot between the Spring evening chill and outright shitty misery of fuyu (rainy season). You won't need sweaters or jackets taking up space in your suitcase, and the best part...beer gardens begin to open. And girls wear less clothes. Just avoid late-May, especially if you're heading into Kansai or south of there, as the daytime temperatures really start to rise and an early fuyu could creep in and fuck up your trip. If you've never experienced the misery of rainy season in Kyoto, just like having a tampon inserted up your ass, it's one of those life experiences you really can skip.
 
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I'm facing the same dilemma as I'm supposed to visit at the end of February but at this point it's really not looking too promising and I'm holding off on purchasing tickets unless I know I can get a refund or free date change. If I were you, and you absolutely have to book now, I'd go with a May flight.

I was speaking with an MD friend of mine today who's also based on our city's largest hospital--which is handling the bulk of our COVID hospitalizations--and his opinion on the vaccine was pretty much what I'd expected: that he's worried about political pressure speeding up the approval, and that even if we do get an approval and limited distribution of a vaccine before the end of the year, the vast majority of us probably won't have access to one until late Q1 2021 at the earliest. Most importantly, that I should forget about my February trip.

Honestly, May isn't too bad of an option. Not sure how much time you've spent in Japan but if you're a fan of warmer, temperate weather (which I'm not as I like to freeze my ass off), May is that sweet spot between the Spring evening chill and outright shitty misery of fuyu (rainy season). You won't need sweaters or jackets taking up space in your suitcase, and the best part...beer gardens begin to open. And girls wear less clothes. Just avoid late-May, especially if you're heading into Kansai or south of there, as the daytime temperatures really start to rise and an early fuyu could creep in and fuck up your trip. If you've never experienced the misery of rainy season in Kyoto, just like having a tampon inserted up your ass, it's one of those life experiences you really can skip.
Very sound advice. This will be my 7th visit to the Tokyo area. Been there in May before so know what to expect. The cheap ass flights i get are typically no cancellation. Costs more to get that option... looks like a May trip!
 
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Sorry, meant Tsuyu. Costco vodka is frying my brains. But honestly, I would think sub-$600 from the east coast is an awesome deal. I’ve always paid more than that from LAX, SEATAC and HNL. Shit, almost 20 years ago when I was living in Japan I’d pay over 60k JPY to come home on vacation. Now we all just cross our fingers and hope for good news. Got invited to a new Thai massage joint in Tokyo and now I’ve got plenty of play money saved up.
 
I was speaking with an MD friend of mine today who's also based on our city's largest hospital--which is handling the bulk of our COVID hospitalizations--and his opinion on the vaccine was pretty much what I'd expected: that he's worried about political pressure speeding up the approval, and that even if we do get an approval and limited distribution of a vaccine before the end of the year, the vast majority of us probably won't have access to one until late Q1 2021 at the earliest. Most importantly, that I should forget about my February trip.

Any truth in the rumors that if your a fit healthy 30 to 50-something Asian American you won't get a covid shot until Q1 2022 at the earliest .... unless you have underlying conditions( respiratory, auto-immune etc).
 
So my choices are either last week of February where flights are in the low $500 range or Early May with flights a bit higher around $525.
Damn, so cheap that price!!
Any truth in the rumors that if your a fit healthy 30 to 50-something Asian American you won't get a covid shot until Q1 2022 at the earliest .... unless you have underlying conditions( respiratory, auto-immune etc).
Or just get a part time job in whatever your area considers frontline work to bump up to be one of the earlier ones on the list. ;)
 
With the U.S. on the verge of approving a vaccine, a lot of logistical information is now being released to the public. Not much yet on exactly WHO will get the first doses, which is likely to be very highly politicized, but a lot is coming out about HOW the vaccine will be distributed. Might be of interest to you folks, as again, it could shed some light on how distribution will work when the vaccine reaches whatever country you're planning on being in.

Here are some key points and highlights from a story in USA Today.

1) The entire process will be overseen by the CDC. The U.S. Government will purchase all of the initial doses and will not charge for them. It is unclear whether the individual clinics will be allowed to charge an administrative fee and, if so, whether insurance companies will be reimbursed for this.

2) The initial doses (expected before the end of the year) will be in very short supply, but the CDC expects "significantly more" will be available by January 2021. It appears frontline workers, medical staff and high-risk individuals will be first in line. It is expected that the Moderna and Pfizer vaccines will be approved first.

3) Individuals who receive the vaccine will also receive a vaccination record card, to ensure they get the proper follow-up inoculation either 21 or 28 days later.

4) Medical offices, hospitals and clinics that wish to administer the vaccine will have to enroll with the CDC and show proof that they have the necessary staff and equipment to do so. When a vaccine becomes available, those entities would have to submit a request through their state Department of Health, which would then verify that those offices are in compliance with CDC requirements and submit the order to the CDC.

5) The CDC is contracted with McKesson, the largest pharma distribution company in the U.S., to handle nationwide distribution and supply of all vaccines. Orders submitted to the CDC would be shipped within 24 hours. Nationwide chain pharacies like CVS and Walgreen's will work directly with the CDC. Military allocations will go through the Dept of Defense.

Here's the interesting part...DISTRIBUTION. This is going to be a logistics nightmare.

6) The Moderna vaccine must be stored at -4F. The Pfizer vaccine must be stored at -94F. The Moderna vaccine will be stored either at a manufacturing plant or at a McKesson distribution center. When an order arrives it will ship directly to the facility. It comes as a frozen liquid in a 10-dose vial with no preservatives. It will be stored in either a freezer or container with dry ice. It can be stored for up to two weeks at normal refrigeration temperatures. Once at room temperature it must be used within six hours. Two doses are required, 28 days apart.

7) The Pfizer vaccine will be much more challenging. The CDC will send orders directly to Pfizer, which will then ship to vaccination sites. It will require special shipping containers with dry ice being topped off every few days. It comes in five-dose vials with no preservatives. It can be stored at normal refrigeration temperatures for only 48 hours, and once at room temperature must be used within six hours. The Pfizer vaccine will be shipped in specially-designed containers, the size of a pizza box, containing 195 vials, equal to 975 doses; one shipping container will hold five of those boxes, or 4,875 doses, and facilities wishing to store these boxes will need to have "sub-80" freezers, usually found at large hospitals and research facilities. The Pfizer vaccine must also be diluted with a specialized liquid, like sterile water, and the two doses must be given 21 days apart.

It will be interesting to see how this plays out over the early months of 2021, as the challenges presented by the top two vaccines, in contrast with the much simpler shipping and storage requirements of the Novavax vaccine--which is also showing slightly better results in Phase I/II testing--might shift focus and demand quite drastically, particularly in areas of the country/world where shipping a vaccine will take much longer and advanced storage facilities are not as commonplace or even available at all.

In any event, it looks like the U.S. truly is going to be the world's guinea pig. Should be an interesting new year.