Wwanderer
Kids, don't try this at home!
- Joined
- Nov 17, 2010
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Risk does accumulate over time. The stats I linked deal with risk estimates of transmitting the disease for each type of activity. The scale the CDC used in its risk estimate is 1/10000, per encounter.
If you engage in a risk behavior more than once you accumulating risk each time you do it.
I did not intend to dispute that risk accumulates; of course it does. What I did and do dispute is that even with this accumulation that BBFS is, as you asserted, "high risk behavior" in Japan. The data at the links I posted show that even with any remotely plausible behavior, it remains exceedingly low risk behavior...much much less risky than many other dangers we tolerate without blinking an eye. Run the numbers, including accumulation, yourself if you don't believe me.
There isn't anything magical about Japan that nullifies this.
No magic at all, just that very very few women have HIV in Japan.
Face it pal, you are in a higher risk category than someone who doesn't use escorts or go to brothels.
Indeed that is true, but the mortal risks I run using escorts and going to brothels are not associated with HIV (or other STDs) but with other things that can go wrong. For example, I have had a razor held to my throat, the unfriendly end of small firearms pointed at me, and threats of a beating directed at me (none of this in Japan, of course) while mongering.
There are variables in calculating risk, some of them are unknown variables. Hence my use of the word "seems".
Fair enough. There are indeed unknown variables that can change (in either direction) the risks you would naively calculate from infection rates etc. But while we don't know them exactly, one can make plausible estimates and show that the dangers remain small.
However and more importantly, one doesn't need to rely on the calculation. Instead you can simply look at the bottom line of the number of deaths caused by HIV per year and the number of new cases per year to see that all of those unknown factors do not make it a major risk. If it were, more people would be getting it and more people would be dying from it...as they are in some countries.
What you just did was use rhetoric to advance your apparent agenda of white knighting sex workers. We all know that you're their protector, but damn!
Are you actually try to discourage condom use?
I totally don't follow you here. Sex workers in general prefer their customers to use condoms and to be unwilling to do BBFS...just makes their lives a bit safer and their work a bit easier. In what way am I protecting them???
-Ww
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